The traditional view in fantasy
football has been to grab a high point producing runningback in the
first round. I recently grabbed Aaron Rodgers as the fifth pick in a
ten man league. The league rewards 6 points for TD's, some leagues
only reward 4 points. Regardless of the points given for touchdowns,
an elite quarterback is a serious asset to your fantasy team. I pulled the numbers from the fftoolbox.com with their 2011 fantasy points. I was able to generate these numbers.
Averages!
- Top 5 QB's =386.66
- QB's 5-10=288.24
- Point difference of 98.42
The average of the Top 5 QB's is
386.66, the average for the 5th to 10th fantasy
point producers is 288.24. It is clearly a big difference in having a
top 5 QB on your team versus someone from the 6 to 10 range.
I believe Aaron Rodgers is going to
have a great year. On Yahoo he is predicted to put up 425 points,
the next best quarterback is 361 points (Drew Brees). Rodgers is
definitely worth a first round pick. I also believe Brady, and
possibly Brees warrant an early pick. Brady and Brees have different
projections depending on which website you reference, I personally
believe Brady will have the better year. Drafting a QB in the first
depends on how many teams are in your league. In a 10 man league I
would definitely take Rodgers or Brady in the first. In a 12 man
league I would take Rodgers or Brady but be worried about my running
game due to the two extra people picking in the first round. In a ten
man league there will be opportunities to take a RB in the second
round. In a 12 man league the options might be a bit more sparse.
Aaron Rodgers is a good draft pick. The difference between having him
and a guy like Matt Ryan is over 100 projected points. Taking a
quarterback in the first round is fine, you just have to be prepared
to draft very intelligently. You have to have several potential picks
each round, and you CAN NOT ignore your runningback situation. Here
are the Top 10 Quarterbacks for this year based off Yahoo
projections. I personally believe Tom Brady is projected to low. To summarize; it is a good thing to draft an elite quarterback, just be prepared to draft smart, and look for valuable players in every round.
Top 10 Quarterbacks based off Yahoo
Predictions
- Aaron Rodgers 426
- Drew Brees 361
- Matt Stafford 337
- Cam Newton 335
- Tom Brady 332
- Peyton Manning 310
- Matt Ryan 309
- Tony Romo 304
- Phillip Rivers 282
- Eli Manning 276
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